managing uncertainty
Moving through uncertainty, toward Research for Impact
Accepting uncertainty must be part of our unfolding research practice. This CARIAA blog post addresses the challenges posed by uncertainty and how these can be overcome.
The Robust Decision Support process for participatory planning
The SEI practice of RDS is a participatory planning process based on a theoretical decision making under uncertainty framework referred to as Robust Decision Making (RDM).
Mainstreaming climate information into sector development plans: the case of Rwanda’s tea and coffee sectors
This report demonstrates the use of climate information in assessing adaptation needs and adaptation interventions. It also outlines changes in thinking as adaptation moves from theory to practice.
Multi Criteria Analysis
This Policy Brief (Note 6) provides a summary of multi-criteria analysis, including a synthesis of the approach, its strengths and weaknesses, how it considers uncertainty, and case study examples.
Portfolio Analysis
This Policy Brief (Note 5) provides a summary of portfolio analysis, including a synthesis of the approach, its strengths and weaknesses, how it considers uncertainty, and case study examples.
Robust Decision Making
This Policy Brief (Note 3) provides a summary of robust decision making, including a synthesis of the approach, its strengths and weaknesses, how it considers uncertainty, and case study examples.
Summary of Methods and Case Study Examples from the MEDIATION Project
This MEDIATION review has covered a range of traditional and new decision support methods. It has analysed the strengths and weakness of these approaches and their relevance for adaptation.
Mediation training module: Robust Decision Making
This MEDIATION training tool provides an introduction to Robust Decision Making, a decision support tool that is used in situations of deep uncertainty.
Participatory Monitoring, Evaluation, Reflection & Learning (PMERL) for Community-based Adaptation: A Manual for Local Practitioners
The PMERL Manual can help measure, monitor and evaluate changes in local adaptive capacity within vulnerable communities for better decision-making on community-based adaptation.
Mediation – Methodology for Effective Decision-making on Impacts and Adaptation (Main Project Page)
This article provides an overview of the MEDIATION project and links to its outputs.